Dan Jarvis : His Path to becoming Prime Minister

23 Jan

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This is a political fantasy, a self projection you might say, that may or not come true. But it is important to note that sometimes self fulfilling prophecies do indeed come about.

It is May 2016 and Labour have just been trounced in the council elections under the dubious leadership of Jeremy Corbyn, losing over 200 seats to the Conservatives, and have been obliterated in Scotland in the MSP elections.An angry and combative moderate wing of the Parliamentary Labour Party decides enough is enough under Corbyn and his vote losing ilk, fearing absolute wipe out at the general election in 2020.

A fresh leadership election is triggered and the moderate wing of the party supported by Labour grandees field one single candidate this time,-Dan Jarvis,-so there is absolutely no leakage or diffusion of anti-Corbyn vote,with Jarvis being untainted by any connection to the ancient regime.and with Labour having learnt their bitter lesson from the last leadership fiasco in 2015.

The hard left nominate their chosen standard bearer again Jeremy Corbyn, in what promises to be the most bitter and acrimonious Labour leadership contest of all time for the very soul of the party.

People outside the party, after last time,are well aware of their right to vote in the leadership election. There are far more sensible moderates in the population than far leftists, the people who voted for Corbyn or joined the party since are basically the entire far left of Britain, there is no additional pool of support for him to call on.

On the other hand, there are about 20 million middle-of-the-road voters in this country, many of whom are strongly attracted to a candidate like Dan Jarvis and fully aware of their right to take part in the election.The £3 Labour membership is taken full advantage of by those inclined and compelled to vote for a viable democracy and opposition.

A Labour leadership election where anyone can take part, places Corbyn at a huge disadvantage and favours the attractive, charismatic candidate Dan Jarvis, attracting huge numbers that completely swamp the far left vote. Corbyn is totally routed and the moderate wing of the Labour Party have total control of the party machine again, common sense is restored and sanity reigns again with Labour’s rank and file.

After all the brouhaha of the the EU Referendum is done and dusted, it is eventually won by the Out Vote by a healthy margin of 10%, and Britain settles down again to face a new reality as a sovereign power once more outside the confines of the EU.

Dan Jarvis adapts accordingly to this new landscape, and quickly marshals Labour into an  formidable election winning machine again, winning several bye elections along the way and taking the fight to the Tories at every turn, and also proving himself to be a clever, cunning and combative adversary for Cameron at the despatch box, quickly winning himself kudos from the Labour backbenches, and instilling deep gloom and despondency in the Government ranks, and at the same time endearing himself at large to the general public with his photogenic looks, charisma, and over abundance of fresh popular ideas and formulas

Jarvis sets about feverishly to rebuild the Labour party in the North and Scotland with a sweeping new programme of attractive reforms, initiatives, job creation and affordable house construction and business investments which sees Labour take ascendancy in the opinion polls, and rattles the Tories to their very core.

David Cameron is totally exhausted after a bitter and ultimately losing EU Ref Campaign, resigns and hands over the reins to a nervous and hesitant George Osbourne in 2019, and the Tories limp wounded and bruised by internal fall outs, divisions, by election setbacks, and further defections to Ukip into a fateful and ominous spring election in 2020.

An inspired and rampant Dan Jarvis runs a model campaign which takes the transforming Labour message to every heartland in the country, masterly denouncing the Tory austerity policies, which resonates loudly in the ears of the public, while the Conservatives led by an out of touch Osbourne are tired,wracked and lifeless throughout a dour and feisty general election campaign.

Labour  successfully steal their clothes back from Nicola Sturgeon North of the border, and win back a solid portion of their seats from a discredited SNP in Scotland, and go on triumphantly to win numerous Tory and Liberal marginals throughout England and Wales, whilst the Tories bleed and collapse from further UKIP incursions.

Dan_Jarvis_2014-4986_fsugsu.jpgDan Jarvis wins an amazing overall majority of 20 seats in a Labour Landslide Election win in 2020.

A feat no one thought possible in 2016.

A personal dream and self fulfilling prophecy has come true for Dan Jarvis, a man born to be Prime Minister, and for all those who trust and believe in their own intrinsic powers at their very own disposal.

Peter Paton is an International PR and Strategic Adviser

Follow Peter on Twitter @pjpaton

E Mail peter.paton@gmail.com

The EU Collapsing from Within

23 Jan

By Peter Paton

If may well turn out to be David Cameron’s audacious bid to renegotiate the terms of Britain’s membership is indeed a fool’s errand, for the unmistakable signs are that the EU is imploding from within itself, due to a perfect storm of unpredictable and unforeseen events, which may well make the proposed EU referendum in the UK both irrelevant and immaterial.

Book_cover_for_While_Europe_Slept.jpgAn unholy confluence of events is rocking the EU to its very foundations with the mass influx of millions of refugees from the Middle East into the citadels of Europe as the number one death knell of the day, as European heads of state fruitlessly and helplessly attempt to stem the invasion from Muslim war torn countries like Syria, Iraq, Lebanon, Somalia, Eritrea and Yemen, and additionally fueled by millions of economic migrants hitching a lift to the gravy trains of Western democracies from every underdeveloped country in the world – a sure recipe for national disaster and strife of unimaginable proportions.

Exacerbating this assault on Europe are the stealth advance of ISIS and other militant Islamic terrorists into every major EU city, by virtue of the free  Schengen movement agreements and the widespread use of fake Syrian passports, which has already resulted in terror attacks in France, Belgium and other European capitals and cities.

The onset of a  global financial crash is accelerating rapidly as the stock markets crash due to the world glut of oil and the Chinese economic recession, which will have a grave knock on effect on Europe, as it struggles vainly to absorb the economic and financial impact of hordes of refugees of biblical proportions.

That all being said, it is very hard to see how the EU will not disintegrate and self combust in an immense funeral pyre of self destruction.

Peter Paton is an International PR and Strategic Adviser

Follow Peter on Twitter @pjpaton

E Mail peter.paton@gmail.com

Two Ways to Remove Jeremy Corbyn as Leader

12 Jan

By Peter Paton

There are two clear definable ways for the Parliamentary Labour Party to remove Jeremy Corbyn as leader of the party.

Both methods would be controversial but nevertheless necessary if the Labour Party wishes to remain electable, and have a fighting chance of winning the 2020 General Election, with or without David Cameron leading the Conservatives.

The first way would be for a fresh leadership challenge against Corbyn, probably after the May elections in the early summer this year.

images1.The moderate wing of the party would challenge Corbyn after the May election. They would agree among themselves a single candidate so there is no diffusion of effort or support amongst anti-Corbyn factions. People outside the party, after last time, will be well aware of their right to vote in the leadership election. There are far more sensible moderates in the population than far leftists, the people who voted for Corbyn and/or joined the party since are basically the entire far left of Britain, there is no additional pool of support for him to call on. On the other hand, there are about 20 million middle-of-the-road voters in this country, many of whom will be attracted to a candidate for instance like Dan Jarvis and fully aware of their right to take part in the election.

jarvisA Labour leadership election where anyone can take part, that is publicised as an opportunity to give it to Corbyn in the neck and elect an attractive candidate like Dan Jarvis, would attract huge numbers that will completely swamp the far left vote. It will bring large numbers into the party, Dan would be elected leader. The Trots will be purged, and Labour would have a very reasonable chance of being elected in 2020.

2. The second way would even simpler. The Parliamentary Labour Party would simply chose for example Dan Jarvis as their leader, and isolate Corbyn and his Shadow Cabinet from the levers of political power.There has to be some legal basis for this political coup. Labour MPs can claim unfair decision-making. Violation of Cabinet collective functioning. Violation of PLP rules. etc. Unfair to make decision on Trident – decision announced/not genuine consultation. etc. Trade unions can be brought on board – on Trident issue/ couple of other measures

Peter Paton is an International PR and Strategic Adviser

Follow Peter on Twitter @pjpaton

E Mail peter.paton@gmail.com

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Tony Blair should return to form a new Centre Party

16 Sep

By Peter Paton

tony-blair-2Three times Election winner Tony Blair is a man on a mission, nothing or nobody has ever been able to stand in his way, or prevent him from achieving his goals and objectives in life, politics and diplomacy.

The former Labour Prime Minister left politics with an immaculate and unrivaled political record, having never been beaten in a first past the post election. With victories in 1997, 2001, and 2005, Blair was the Labour Party’s longest-serving Prime Minister, the only person to lead the party to three consecutive general election victories.

journeyKnown as ” The Master ” for his extraordinary political and oratorical skills, Tony Blair has adroitly navigated through the passage of time in a number of key roles and positions and skillfully negotiated unpredictable world events, showing an unerring capacity to reinvent himself successfully without ever having to relinquish his convictions and fervour for social justice, equal opportunity, education and fairness in society. Despite facing widespread criticism from within his own Labour Party and from virulent quarters of the left wing media for the Iraq Invasion, Blair has never flinched or apologised for his full hearted support for the War on Terror, maintaining to this day, that it was the right thing to do to remove Saddam Hussein from power based on the best intelligence in hand at the time, and a UN Mandate authorised by United Nations Security Council Resolution 1441.

Today, the Labour Party has been hijacked by left wing extremists and anti Monarchists, under the banner of  new leader Jeremy Corbyn and deputy leader Tom Watson, sarcastically referred to as ” Tom and Jerry”, and they face decades in the political wilderness with their extreme Marxist policies.

WatsonThe country is crying out loud for a new Centre Left party that can credibly challenge the Conservative’s grip on power, and who better to lead such a party than the one and only Tony Blair ?, the scourge of the Tories, and the one man who could offer hope, guidance and direction to the British people in these hugely uncertain, dangerous and unpredictable times.Before such a new centrist party could become a reality it would take great forward planning and meticulous preparation by all the parties concerned, not to mention a commitment from Tony Blair himself that he is still up to the job, and that he still retains the hunger, passion and dedication he once had when he first entered politics, and that he could surround himself with a winning and trustworthy team once again.Will it ever become a reality again ?. Only Events will dictate that.